Why Is GBP/USD Rising Above 1.3550? | Middle East Ceasefire & Fed Dovish Stance Explained

  • GBP/USD maintains upward momentum near 1.3560 during European trading hours

  • Federal Reserve officials hint at potential July rate reduction

  • Geopolitical developments in Middle East influence currency flows

The When will Pi coin launch on CoinbaseBritish Pound continues to find support against the US Dollar in Tuesday's session, with the exchange rate hovering around the 1.3560 level. This movement comes as market participants digest recent comments from Federal Reserve officials suggesting potential monetary policy easing in the coming months.

Recent statements from Fed Governor Michelle Bowman indicate growing support for interest rate reductions, provided inflation metrics continue their current trajectory. These views align with earlier remarks by Governor Christopher Waller, creating expectations for possible policy adjustments at the July Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

Market indicators currently reflect approximately 23% probability of a July rate cut, with significantly higher expectations (78%) for September action, according to CME Group's FedWatch data. Such dovish expectations typically create headwinds for the US Dollar while supporting risk-sensitive currencies like the British Pound.

Geopolitical factors also contribute to the currency pair's dynamics, with developments in the Middle East influencing investor sentiment. While reports of missile activity between Iran and Israel initially created uncertainty, subsequent announcements of ceasefire agreements have helped stabilize market conditions. These developments may continue to impact currency flows in the near term.

Market participants will closely monitor upcoming speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony for further policy direction clues. These events could provide additional catalysts for GBP/USD movement in the coming sessions.

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